Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 14.769763 16.738276 18.973528 21.721293 25.038166 28.951723 33.977497
2025-06-22 11.678570 13.996547 16.843819 20.664808 25.764016 32.495794 42.344698
2025-06-29 9.826534 12.184480 15.225313 19.542710 25.704839 34.507288 48.696822
2025-07-06 8.633724 10.988390 14.141960 18.825117 25.888282 36.677664 55.638067
2025-07-13 8.612203 11.313814 15.104185 21.061205 30.713845 46.857276 78.933181
2025-07-20 8.179002 10.995567 15.085008 21.793388 33.288733 53.979607 99.655895
2025-07-27 7.497640 10.239786 14.316375 21.207885 33.501133 56.865564 112.830286
2025-08-03 7.201937 10.020696 14.330645 21.886586 36.050959 64.901331 141.944642
2025-08-10 6.740327 9.503656 13.815020 21.576711 36.674638 69.102449 163.608106
2025-08-17 6.337999 9.043998 13.344010 21.276453 37.249118 73.345387 188.144542
2025-08-24 6.009526 8.674511 12.985050 21.128972 38.100778 78.494099 219.468434
2025-08-31 5.650232 8.229049 12.458270 20.600328 38.041195 81.347464 244.946618
2025-09-07 5.384436 7.932148 12.185364 20.576534 39.215621 88.225708 295.335312
2025-09-14 4.994951 7.406103 11.472217 19.607614 38.063843 88.271838 315.715404
2025-09-21 4.630012 6.899620 10.757330 18.561254 36.563825 86.894489 328.405981
2025-09-28 4.351384 6.523581 10.250833 17.891850 35.881193 87.902740 356.545211
2025-10-05 4.472312 6.836146 11.018569 19.975919 42.555299 115.984701 616.297085
2025-10-12 4.396133 6.798537 11.129020 20.657086 45.737255 133.903626 872.152302
2025-10-19 4.179822 6.499040 10.715926 20.112426 45.362154 137.577854 998.528917
2025-10-26 4.112446 6.462623 10.809525 20.743748 48.577126 158.627531 1472.473072
2025-11-02 3.949882 6.243754 10.527017 20.455568 48.942714 166.946817 1817.624698
2025-11-09 3.799332 6.039280 10.259754 20.176230 49.290382 175.566937 2266.567613
2025-11-16 3.672889 5.873097 10.058962 20.038989 50.084073 187.262955 2975.866017